Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000743 0.000849 0.000960 0.001087 0.001226 0.001375 0.001545
2025-03-30 0.000578 0.000723 0.000888 0.001087 0.001320 0.001582 0.001896
2025-04-06 0.000483 0.000644 0.000836 0.001076 0.001369 0.001708 0.002130
2025-04-13 0.000406 0.000575 0.000784 0.001056 0.001398 0.001808 0.002331
2025-04-20 0.000365 0.000543 0.000772 0.001080 0.001476 0.001963 0.002596
2025-04-27 0.000328 0.000513 0.000757 0.001095 0.001541 0.002100 0.002842
2025-05-04 0.000288 0.000472 0.000724 0.001082 0.001568 0.002187 0.003024
2025-05-11 0.000251 0.000432 0.000688 0.001062 0.001580 0.002255 0.003180
2025-05-18 0.000230 0.000412 0.000678 0.001076 0.001637 0.002380 0.003413
2025-05-25 0.000208 0.000390 0.000662 0.001079 0.001678 0.002483 0.003618
2025-06-01 0.000180 0.000354 0.000623 0.001046 0.001667 0.002515 0.003726
2025-06-08 0.000156 0.000323 0.000588 0.001016 0.001656 0.002545 0.003832
2025-06-15 0.000141 0.000304 0.000572 0.001014 0.001687 0.002634 0.004023
2025-06-22 0.000127 0.000287 0.000558 0.001013 0.001719 0.002726 0.004219
2025-06-29 0.000113 0.000268 0.000538 0.001003 0.001736 0.002796 0.004384
2025-07-06 0.000100 0.000248 0.000514 0.000984 0.001738 0.002843 0.004517
2025-07-13 0.000094 0.000242 0.000516 0.001006 0.001803 0.002983 0.004787
2025-07-20 0.000087 0.000235 0.000513 0.001020 0.001856 0.003106 0.005033
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000220 0.000495 0.001009 0.001867 0.003168 0.005190
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000203 0.000474 0.000990 0.001866 0.003208 0.005316
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000197 0.000472 0.001003 0.001916 0.003328 0.005563
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000189 0.000464 0.001005 0.001949 0.003422 0.005770
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000172 0.000438 0.000975 0.001925 0.003427 0.005845